Skip to main content

NZ Polling Tracker — June to September 2026

Party vote share from every published poll, June through early September 2026, covering the run-in to the 7 November 2026 general election. Hover the chart for exact figures at each poll; click a party name in the legend to hide or show its line.

The Post/Freshwater Strategy's 5–11 June poll is omitted — that house doesn't ask about the Opportunity Party, so it can't sit cleanly on the same axes as the rest.

NZ Party Vote Polling, June–September 2026
0815233038Party vote %TM 1-10 JunCuria 4-8 JunVerian 13-17 JunRM (May-Jun)Curia ~1-5 JulRNZ 2-9 JulTM 10-19 JulRM (Jun-Jul)Curia 1-4 AugTM 1-11 AugVerian 8-11 AugRNZ 14-21 AugRM (Jul-Aug)Curia 1-3 Sep

House effects to keep in mind: Roy Morgan and Talbot Mills consistently show Labour several points apart from each other regardless of when the poll ran — that's a systematic house difference, not the electorate swinging. Opportunity's rise (3–4% in June to 8–9.5% in August) is the one trend that shows up consistently across every house, which is why it reads as a real shift rather than noise.